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Is it possible to turn an old phone into a seedsigner? Most people turn phones into hardware wallets but I'm not confortable storing my private keys in the phone's SSD, even if doubly encrypted (phone encryption + wallet encryption).

One big advantage is the stealth factor. You walk through customs and you put a huge target on your head if they recognize your Seedsigner. Phones on the other hand are everyday carry for 99.9% of people.

Is there a way to use the phone solely as a signing device where the private keys are held only temporarily (either RAM or wiped clean after use)?

Of course all conectivity other than the camera would be disabled.

Question. I got into Bitcoin roughly a decade ago. I haven’t sold since other than a few sats here and there to reward myself for holding and buy something in USD. For those who say they’re “never selling” do you believe that in your lifetime it will be practical and also widely accepted as currency? Or that it will reach a price like $10M USD where you’ll have no choice but to sell?

Do the reddit bitcoiner peeps need to hardfork to a new account or can we dicuss both here?

I’m experimenting the dice roll feature on a Keystone Pro 3 to generate a seedphrase, and cross-checking the seedphrase generated using Ion Coleman’s BIP39 tool to check if they match. I rolled 100 dice rolls to produce the seedphrase, and found out that the total bits is 167 due to bias, as opposed to the max 256 bits.

My question is: while I understand 167 bits indicate a safe seedphrase, do you recommend +150 rolls, or even the maximum number of rolls of 256 that the Keystone accepts, for increased entropy?

I’ve been around BTC for a while, but lately I’ve found myself thinking more seriously about where we actually go from here.

Bitcoin has gone from something most people laughed at, to an asset held by institutions, companies and governments. Every cycle seems to bring a new group of people into the space, but at the same time the original idea of actually using Bitcoin seems to get discussed less and less.

So I’m curious how people here genuinely see the next few years playing out.

Are you still aggressively accumulating? Taking profits and diversifying? Holding everything regardless of price? Or have you reached the point where BTC has already done what you needed it to do financially?

I’m especially interested in hearing from people who have been through multiple cycles. Has your strategy changed as the market has matured?

No price predictions needed, just interested in how everyone is positioning themselves and why.

Would be good to get a proper discussion going

i had a wallet on electrum and i lost the password, but i still have the generation seed so i just used that to make a new wallet, i also ordered 100$ of bitcoin before i forgot the password and lost the account, the transaction has not gone through yet, will it go to the new walet because i used the same generation seed?

Just think about it. Nothing makes any sense. Wars all over the place. Basic necessities cost your whole paycheck. And don’t get me started on politics. Men and women at odds with one another. No one is having kids. The family unit, what the hell is even is that?

Corporate greed at dizzying heights.

Governments up to their ears in debt.

Zoomers and Alphas YOLOing their money into prediction markets. You know we are cooked when the youngest of us have lost hope.

The future looks DARK

If only there was a way out of all this……

I was looking for mixers and saw Wasabi wallet to be the most consistent recommendation. But is there any easy to follow guide on how exactly to use it in a safe manner as a relative noob? I want to understand the basic usage pattern first, and then dig deeper into some of the underlying concepts if necessary.

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My wife’s family in India wants to send us $20000 equivalent as a gift for our marriage . Is buying BTC and sending to my wallet the best method available, or is there any hidden fees and taxes that would make other methods better at the moment ? I am from
America

I keep seeing more and more posts saying that the Bitcoin bull run has already started.

Maybe they’re right. But after living through three Bitcoin bear markets, something in the back of my mind keeps telling me that the downside might not be over yet.

I already have my Bitcoin bags. I’m not sitting on the sidelines waiting for the perfect entry. But even so, I have this feeling that we might still have to experience a little more pain before the real bottom is in.

One thing that keeps bothering me is the Hash Ribbons indicator.

Historically, Hash Ribbons has flashed around the major cycle bottoms in Bitcoin. This time, it hasn’t.

Maybe this cycle is different. Maybe the indicator simply won’t work the same way this time.

But after watching Bitcoin for years, I’ve learned one thing:
When everyone starts feeling confident that the bull run is here, that’s usually when I start getting nervous.

I could be completely wrong. And honestly, I hope I am.

But I wouldn’t be surprised if Bitcoin still has one more nasty shakeout before the next major leg up.

What do you guys think? Are we already in the bull run, or is there still more downside ahead?

Since the etf resets every day I'm just supposed to hold and wait right need advice

WARNING: NC Wallet is holding my BTC for 100+ hours. No TxID generated even after paying priority fee (Ticket: NW-150331) I am putting out a serious warning for anyone considering using NC Wallet.

My funds are being held in what appears to be a deliberate internal lock. I initiated a Bitcoin withdrawal of 0.00272744 BTC exactly 100 hours ago. To ensure a fast transaction, I explicitly turned off their "No commission" option and paid the priority network fee myself. Despite this, the transaction has been stuck in "Pending" status for over 4 days. No TxID (transaction hash) has been generated. This is 100% proof that NC Wallet is holding the funds internally and has not even broadcasted the transaction to the Bitcoin blockchain.

Support (Ticket: NW-150331) sent a generic automated reply blaming "blockchain congestion," which is a flat-out lie since there is no TxID to track. Since I pointed this out with technical facts, they have gone completely silent and ignored all my email. Stay away from this platform.

If anyone has tips on how to force them to release an internal hold, please let me know.

EDIT:

After a quite battle, NC Wallet finally reversed my Bitcoin withdrawal, but then they freezed my funds under fake KYC/AML, and NC Wallet is holding my Bitcoin hostage. They locked my account with 'Withdrawal restricted due to account status'.

I have submitted a brand new valid passport, utility bill, and full source of funds. Eva from support keeps sending generic excuses and ignores Ticket #150331. Completely untrustworthy service, avoid!"

I've just ordered a trezor 7 because I want to set up my seed and also passphrase. It's a Bitcoin-only trezor 7. I would like some advice on whether or not I should do a dice roll or let the trezor generate my seed.

I'm aware of the recent cold card situation, so I'd just like to get some recommendations. I have a few dice, but I'm unsure of the procedure on how to go about rolling dice because I'd like to do it correctly so that I don't introduce any human errors to the procedure. I guess, in a nutshell, I'd like to know: will I just let the trezor 7 generate the 12-word seed phrase, or should I do the 100 dice rolls and generate my own entropy that way? Thanks.

Picture this: you suddenly wake up and it's 2013 again. After thanking God for it all just being a terrible nightmare, you go online to check if Bitcoin really exists. And it does.

You can buy Bitcoin for 15USD. Yes, that's 15. Would you "wait til it hits 9$ again" or would you just fkin buy it right away?

This is what people from 2040 will think when they see posts from 2026 asking whether it'll go to 65k again or up to 84k. They'll think "how stupid were they? Why didn't they just fking buy the damn thing and hodl it long enough?"

Well that's where we are now buddy boys. It's your call.

Trying this again: If you’re a digital nomad or expat, what is your hw wallet setup and what is your experience going through TSA with your hw wallet? Will your setup change now that CBP updated their policies for electronics? https://www.cbp.gov/travel/cbp-search-authority/border-search-electronic-devices

Please do not respond to this question if you don’t understand what a digital nomad is. Telling me I don’t need to travel with my hw wallet is not a useful comment and ignores the fact that I said DIGITAL NOMAD.

We just saw the new FED chair Kevin Warsh give a speech at the Jackson Hole. Everyone panics? Why?

While the Federal Reserve Chair does not have authority legally to shut down Bitcoin, their decisions on interest rate hikes and money printing heavily drive where crypto prices go. True, these are wild times for Bitcoin.

We have a hardfork supposedly happening September 1st and traders are being crammed into another bulltrap. Of course all this is personal perception.

While we wait and sit this bear market out, one question now arises.

Will the new FED chair make or break Bitcoin?

1- Never sell

2- Invest 30% of all my money at 40% below the peak

3- Invest 60% of all my money at 50% below the peak.

4- Invest 100% of all my money at 60% below the peak.

5- Never buy BTC outside of these 3 scenarios.

After cold card and trezor issues what’s the next best option to store bitcoin. I’m currently using electrum

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If it is not going to zero, then it is going to a million

Its truth. Real life. People on X on else, yapping about their narratives so you follow them to profits them. Nothing new on real life. Just people keep selling stuff.

Im the moron who buys bitcoin at 80K. Been DCA for over 1 year now. Gonna keep
Going for 10+ years.

Your federal taxes will be drastically lower than a year you were employed in, maybe even close to 0% if you stay under the lowest tax bracket. You will likely still owe your state taxes, so don't expect a free ride.

That means if, for example, you get laid off in September 2026, wait until January 2027 to sell if you really need the funds. If you can find work or have a large enough e-fund, then no need to sell.

Quick comparison — selling $50k in BTC (single filer, CA):

Scenario Total tax owed
$0 income ~$1,660
$20/hr job (~$41,600/yr) ~$11,850

Even a modest part-time income pushes your gains way up.

Personally, I think people should only invest what they don't plan to sell for 10+ years, but for the maxis in here whose entire net worth is in BTC, this is a good tip if you are expecting to be laid off soon.

Zoom out, look at the 6 months chart, keep focused on the long term vision

There’s no stopping this train. There is nothing the US or any government can do to reign in the massive levels of debt to GDP the world enjoys today.

They will claim that they intend to “grow out of it”; that is just code for currency debasement. Bitcoin is ready for that and has been since 2009.

They can’t aggressively raise interest rates.

They can’t wish away the debt.

They can’t cut spending.

They can buy back their own debt to lower bond yields using money they print out of thin air which is another level of insanity altogether.

They are mathematically trapped.

All you have to do is bitcoin and chill.

Started in March 2026 investing in Bitcoin and after 378 Transaction (Buying BTC), Today finally reached 1.003 BTC

do u think it is muted similar to the most recent bull and we are past the bottom or do u think history is gonna repeat itself?

In hindsight, r/buttcoin dancing on the graves of Coldcard victims was an obvious bottom signal. I remember in 2022, they celebrated the demise of FTX users while pretty obvious opportunities, like buying under the 200-week SMA, came and went. When I think about BTC maxis speed-running decades of inflation in six months, I wonder if you guys aren’t just opposite sides of the same retarded coin

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A couple of weeks ago, I sold all my BTC to buy SpaceX.

Today, just a few hours ago...at 81k, I did the exact opposite, sold my SpaceX position and bought back all the BTC I had sold.

So naturally, BTC is going to crash like crazy, expect 50k... soon! :(

The news is going nuts about the debasement trade, institutional accumulation and macro headwinds. We might have a short drawdown before it picks up again but it feels like Bitcoin is about to melt faces. Sorry to stress anyone out with this post but this might be it for the majority of us trying to reach that sweet whole coin status. Just remember to be humble and focus on the stacking. It's all about the long-term strategy.

I feel every year there’s at least one major disaster that later gets swept under the rug. There was so much news and panic regarding this, but a week later absolutely nothing.

Now that crypto is creeping back up, reminds me of the time when folks were locked at the all time lows with the celsius fiasco.

imo its starting to look like the people waiting for lower prices are in a bit of trouble if this builds support @ 80k. thoughts and opinions? (pls no sheeple talking about the "scheduled bottom")

The lightning network is a second-layer solution on top of the Bitcoin blockchain that enables quick, cheap and scalable Bitcoin payments.

Here is the place to discuss and learn more about lightning!

Ask your questions about lightning

Provide reviews, feedback, comparisons of LN apps, services, websites etc

Learn about new LN features, development, apps

Link to good quality resources (articles, wikis etc)

Resources:

• Here is an awesome list of resources: https://bitcoinfo.org/lightning.html

• Want to test out your lightning fire power? tip the Bitcoin devs! https://bitcoindevlist.com/

• Previous threads: Search

• Lnbook getting closer towards being finished and can already be seen at: https://github.com/lnbook/lnbook

• Lightning Dedicated YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/renepickhardt

• Also there is the playlist by chaincode labs: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLpLH33TRghT17_U3as2P3vHfAGL8pSOOY

• Lightning stores: https://www.lightningnetworkstores.com/

• Learn more and talk about lightning right here in r/Bitcoin, r/bitcoinbeginners and r/thelightningnetwork

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My whole financial life runs on spreadsheets. Every expense categorized, every savings target logged, running totals on everything. So when I started buying Bitcoin on a schedule I naturally built out a full cost basis tracker. Date of purchase, amount, price at the time, current value, unrealized gain or loss, the works.

What I didn't expect is that knowing my exact cost basis makes dips feel more personal somehow. Before the spreadsheet, a price drop was just a number on an app. Now it's a specific red cell in a column with my name on it. That feels different in a way that's hard to explain, and I'm not sure it's helping.

The people I read about who hold through everything without flinching seem to either have a very long time horizon baked in, or they genuinely stopped treating shortterm price movement as information worth reacting to. I can't tell if the cost basis tracking is giving me useful data or just more surface area to stress about.

There's probably a version of this where you track everything obsessively and stay calm anyway because the conviction is strong enough. I haven't found that version yet.

Did tracking your numbers closely make holding easier or harder over time? Or did you eventually just stop updating the sheet?

I was active on #bitcoin-otc in early 2009. An inner voice told me 1500 BTC would be enough to live my dreams. Instead I asked for 2500 BTC for $25 and got kicked out of the channel. At the time that amount was only worth a couple dollars, so I felt rejected by the community.
Around the same period I also mined 50 BTC. I wrote the private key on paper, then tore it up because the software wasn’t working right and I figured it “wasn’t meant to be.” I never tried to recover it.
I’ve spent years stuck in the loop of “I could have been rich.” I can’t fully accept that I missed what felt like a once-in-a-lifetime chance. Even the 50 BTC would have changed everything for me.
I’m trying to make peace with it and stay grateful for what I have now. Thanks for listening.

I don’t mean just hold it long term, I mean like I’m going to die with it. I look at my stack and I think, I’m selling that bit on X date or X price or, I’m selling that to buy X.

But then I look at a bit of my stack and I’m thinking I’m not selling that ever.

Anyone else the same?

I’m curious because if this is the norm, bitcoin is a lot scarcer than we might think it is.

如何磨练自己的投资眼光，对流动性、叙事、共识等足够敏锐，并且做出合理的判断

Coldcard was a shock for the whole community, now everybody thinks about how to improve their security setup. But lot of people doesn’t hold a retirement worthy stack of btc, so sooner or later the question comes around: when and what to do?

I would like to know, what would you recommend a beginner (small amount), intermediate and so on?
When does a reel good (expensive) steel wallet makes sense, when do you really need a passphrase or even a multisig? I mean it’s always an individual decision, but in my opinion in some cases you don’t need the max of the max when the security costs are higher than your stack.
Sure, if you hold 10btc the security should be at its max, but let’s be calm and touch some grass when does someone really need a multi vendor setup?

Happy to hear your borders!

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Been following the Coldcard fallout closely and this is the most interesting response to it so far.

After Coldcard losses climbed past 100 million, developer Calle and AnchorWatch CEO Rob Hamilton organized the Bitcoin Red Team, 16 volunteers globally, pointing frontier AI models at as much of Bitcoin's open source codebase as possible. OpenSats funded the compute, roughly 10k a day, AI developer Moonshot provided model access including Kimi K3.

Results from a 27.5 hour sprint starting August 4: 4,962 total findings across 390 projects. 85 critical, 635 high severity. Project owners confirmed most of the critical reports, and researchers rebuilt working proofs of concept before alerting maintainers, not just AI flagging something suspicious.

The bottleneck isn't discovery anymore according to the team, it's verification and routing. Only about 21 percent of findings had been independently reproduced by the 30 hour mark, fewer than 5 percent of projects had gotten formal disclosure.

Here's the part that makes it concrete instead of abstract. During this same window, attackers exploited a critical BTCPay Server vulnerability, draining Lightning nodes running behind it by stealing macaroon credential files. Foundation, the hardware wallet company, had its own BTCPay Lightning node drained overnight. This specific vulnerability had already been reported to BTCPay by Red Team members. It got found, reported, and exploited anyway before the fix was fully deployed everywhere.

Full writeup on the whole sequence:

https://davidebtc186.substack.com/p/16-volunteers-27-hours-40000-in-ai

I was thinking of starting to mine btc and started doing some research. I figured out it's not really profitable and probably a cost sink. So I was thinking I could have it as a side hobby that could possibly make me money if im lucky. Im just wondering if it's any fun.

Hello there Dear Bitcoiners,

i plan to buy btc soon, and i wonder what is the ultimative cheapest way to buy btc from eur to btc?

I mean top up from eur bank transfer or anywow, plus lowest fee and comissionspread while buying, i want to max out every euro to satoshi, what the best way?

I used to buy on Binance but since its banned i need now new way, any ideas?

I think kraken looks pretty expensive by fees, there must be better

EDIT UPDATE AFTER 16hours and +100 COMMENTS

thx for all the answers to everybody!!

i have made a list of all recommendations;

-RevolutX -
-OKX
-Krakenpro
-Bitvavo
-Strike

I will try each exchange with about 200€ to buy in btc and see how it turns out, and then compare fees/spreads overall and all other costs like withdrawal, will make a new post then.

I don't know what this post is supposed to be about. I'm pretty new to crypto and investing and I was just thinking about Bitcoin. I don't think crypto really appeals to me. But I'm totally sold on Bitcoin with the decentralized nature of it and the scarcity. That's all. Just a Bitcoin appreciation post. Go Bitcoin!

When I was a kid, I wanted to buy in-game currency for a game I played, so I downloaded Bitcoin-Qt at an internet café, I tried mining but didn't understand a thing, so I turned to those survey/offer sites that paid 0.25 BTC per completed survey. I installed a few programs and Firefox extensions, and after a few hours managed to accumulate 1.75 BTC, but I got bored because the amount was nowhere near what I needed, and I ended up forgetting all about it. A few years later, BTC started skyrocketing in value, which devastated me. I decided never to chase after BTC again, yet that childhood memory kept popping into my mind every now and then. That’s why I decided to give it another shot. I’m not overly confident, knowing I missed my big chance, but I know that I won't be able to rest until I give it a shot.

Just a silly vent, but I really hope I'm not the only person who's been through this lmao

I have never owned Bitcoin until NOW and here is why I’m now buying and holding. Last week when Bessent announced he is doubling Treasury buybacks of US government long bonds it means this:

Those bonds are ILLIQUID meaning the cash is largely locked up in them. Who holds them? Many people including hedge funds. Bessent just told these hedge funds that he will now BUY those previously ILLIQUID bonds creating new liquidity for hedge funds. This begins on Sept 9 but hedge funds are already front running this and buying Bitcoin. This is the mechanics of it in a nutshell. Many don’t currently understand this. They think that Bitcoins move is mostly from a short squeeze but they are not understanding the VERY IMPORTANT fundamental catalyst that has acted as the match to light the Bitcoin flame! This flame is not going away but will only grow as more and more government intervention is needed.

I’m buying Bitcoin because this is JUST THE BEGINNING of the cycle. Sell when retail fomos at the late stages. We are many, many years away from that happening.

This might be a "well duh" question, but do you guys think the whales and institutes pay attention to what retail investors are saying / believing and then manipulate the markets around that?

Everyone here was talking about October lows and then bam were jumping up 10k+ in August, not saying it'll stay here but do you think the big players share a group chat like "lol dumb retails think its October lows let's make it run up in August to fuck with them" ????

I know we had the fed talking about buying back debt or whatever so maybe coincidence?

What do you think? Its hard to imagine the early investors with hundreds or thousands of coins don't all chat about what move to make next

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If I don’t have $100K of liquid cash and don’t want to touch my savings account. Would you buy $100K of Bitcoin (IBIT) in your 401K? I ain’t touching my 401K for years (20+) anyways. I am afraid that I won’t be able to afford 1 Bitcoin in the next 10 years due its price probably being $300K+. But I have always heard, “not your keys not your Bitcoin”…

Thoughts?

I’d like to start buying bitcoin, obviously when it was 60k it would’ve been even better. It seems some people say it will drop one more time? I don’t have a ton of money to keep putting into it so I’d like to pick an optimal time, is the general consensus that it’ll drop one more time before going up? Also I don’t really know how fast it drops/rises. Thanks in advance

If you don’t believe me, just see it yourself. ~ Sun tzu x satoshi collabs - the art of Bitcoining

Hit the sell order and I’m out. Bought a handful around 16.5 and rode it up. I still think it’s a good bet but I’m retired and the volatility just got too crazy. I used to think marketplace access was a great thing (and probably still is) but it made it too easy for the buy/sell guys and it just no longer fits the portfolio. I kept one just for good measure. Good luck longs. You are gonna win.

I built NYENYC (Not Your Entropy Not Your Coins), a small open-source, completely offline device that generates a standard 24-word BIP-39 mnemonic from entropy supplied entirely by the user.

The device itself generates no entropy. It is basically a glorified BIP-39 calculator: you give it coin flips or dice rolls, it gives you the corresponding 24 words.

It just does all the heavy lifting for you: it collects the bits from coin flips or dice rolls, computes the checksum and converts the 11*24=264 bits into 24 BIP-39 words.

Why?

Because when a hardware wallet generates a seed internally, at some point you have to trust its entropy generation chain.

You can have a perfectly good hardware TRNG, but you still have to trust that the firmware actually uses it correctly when generating the seed. A bug anywhere in that path can make the hardware RNG irrelevant. The recent Coldcard entropy issue is a good example of this failure mode.

With NYENYC the entropy source is outside the device and visible to you.

The part I particularly like is the Von Neumann coin mode, in which you do not need a perfectly fair coin to get unbiased output bits.

Under the normal assumption that flips are independent and the coin bias stays the same, the output is mathematically unbiased even if the physical coin itself is biased.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_coin

So you can take a completely ordinary coin and keep flipping until the device has collected 256 unbiased bits.

There are also plain coin-flip and dice modes.

The hardware is intentionally stupid: PIC18F47K42, 2×16 LCD and two buttons. No USB, no networking and no persistent storage. The generated seed only exists in RAM and disappears when the device is powered off.

Everything is open source, hardware and firmware:

https://github.com/gianlucag/NYENYC

Any feedback is very welcome! And please don't judge my soldering skills :-)

I'm just wondering for everyone who's now on their way to the moon, what's exactly your message to our beloved people stuck on earth?

Try to keep it friendly guys as they're already in pain, no need to rub it even more. I would honestly ask the 40k crowd a question instead. At what price or scenario are you going to accept this is indeed a bull market now? By that time, will it be too late for your personal entry?

Bessent $1 trillion Treasury General Account bond buybacks

...yet some people are schocked why shorts are being obliterated, let the printer print, guys... this is just pure fuel to bitcoin

You have seen it, on every post in every crypto thread, there is me, shaming you for not DCAing, irregardless of what your post is about. You know the kinds of comments -

- "Shut up and DCA"
- "You're an egit for not DCAing"
- "I'm high and mighty for not doing anything as reckless and you are and I look down on your penniless ignorance with conceited superiority"

Sure it makes sense that if I'm DCAing I don't need to be online every single day of my short life commenting on literally every single post but listen, I'm not shaming you because I'm just as scared as the traders, oh no, I'm actually WAY more scared and it makes me feel more in control of my life when I can make other people feel inferior.

Thank you for your attention and never forget, DCA!

For reference: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/s/K6KvreB6cM

https://youtu.be/nJeddv1QbeQ

Looked at Bitcoin-related tweets from the last six hours and something stood out: only 20% showed FOMO-type language and 15% showed FUD, meaning the clear majority of chatter isn't emotionally charged in either direction. That's a pretty tight gap compared to the extreme swings you usually see when BTC is trending hard.

The undertone across the general commentary is cautious optimism, mostly tied to continued institutional and ETF interest, but it's balanced out by people flagging regulatory uncertainty and macro signals as reasons for hesitation. Basically nobody in this window seems fully convinced of an imminent breakout or a sharp pullback, which is a bit unusual given how polarized crypto Twitter/X sentiment often gets.

A tight FOMO/FUD spread like this can sometimes mean the market's in a wait-and-see mode ahead of some catalyst, whether that's a macro print, a regulatory decision, or an ETF flow update. It doesn't tell you direction, just that conviction is currently low on both sides.

What do you think is causing the hesitation right now, is it more about macro data or the regulatory overhang?

What's everyone's opinions? I know bitcoin has been pumping had mixed opinions saying this is what we've been waiting for, some are saying it's a bull trap for an all time low. What do we think

Ask (and answer!) away! Here are the general rules:

• If you'd like to learn something, ask.
• If you'd like to share knowledge, answer.
• Any question about Bitcoin is fair game.

And don't forget to check out /r/BitcoinBeginners

You can sort by new to see the latest questions that may not be answered yet.

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It is funny to see how 3 daily and I should say significant green candles changed Bitcoin sentiment.
So called analysts that analyze Bitcoin every day up until 17 August were calculating the bottom using Fibonacci and other measurements and now they're saying they are bullish.
For example Jason Pizzino.
10 days ago his video title was Bitcoin: Countdown to the brutal bottom.
7 days ago his video title was Bitcoin: It's grinding to the bitter end.
And now he is saying we bottomed in and now he started to see bullish signals.

I will be cooking if btc continue this bullish move. What I was expecting was just a retracement but at the end I’m seeing what is more than my expectations. As a professional Technical analyst, what is your your take on bitcoin?

Good evening everyone, i have purchased a cold wallet to hold my coins and i went with Dcent. When owning these cold wallets and running their firmwares on your computers, do you have any extra type of security running on your computer just to be safe while doing transactions? My fear is getting hacked and i know i have to write down my seedphrase and lock it away in a safe place. I'd rather add another layer of security, if there's any.

Hi,
A few days ago, I lost the descriptor for my multisig. Is there any way to recover my sats using only the seed phrases?

By the way, one of the seeds has a passphrase ☠️

Thanks.

I would like to buy a Steel Backup solution and will use a Storage dropoff address. Shall I buy form a privat person via 2nd hand-shops Like eBay or buy direct form the company online shop. In Both Cases I have to share my Full Name but can also hide my privat Adress via a package public storage dropoff point. After the dataleaks especially from Trezors third party shipmonk and in case of crypto shops in general the big question is:
is it better to share my name with a unkown random privat person from eBay and buy his left over steel backup or buy one from the company online shop?

X is filled with gambler, delete x, they made money out of you. Ts so as.

I’ve been buying Bitcoin & coding with blockchain since 2012. I don’t have a crystal ball, but I have several panes of glass.

We are NOT in a stage of stable horizontal movement right now, and there will be several more BIG swings either up or down… so get ready!

I still expect Bitcoin to pass $200k in the next 1-2 years, so act accordingly.

Cheers Fam ????

Edit: Lots of unexpected hostility here. It’s difficult to explain a lifetime of knowledge & education in a general statement that appeals to & is understandable by the masses. You’re welcome to start a conversation, or ask me some questions. I’ve created entire blockchains, and I’m almost done with my 3rd. I have a degree in Engineering, and I’m well educated about Economics. Bitcoin is a finite asset, that out-techs several other forms of payment. I’ve made custom blockchains to fit different usage cases for several Fortune-500 companies.

There are some good books out there, and I recommend “The Truth Machine. The Blockchain And The Future Of Everything” if you want a good place to start.

What's going on?????¿¿¿

Is it possible for retail to transfer BTC in cold storage into IBIT without a taxable event? Grok leads me to believe an accredited investor can essentially develop a private relationship with the firms approved for in-kind transfers and do this for a small fee. Has anyone done it?

Some easy advice for some of you on the fence, or newbies.

1. You never want to sell Bitcoin when it is going down. It's too low and you can't optimize gains.

2. You never want to sell Bitcoin when it is going up. Why would you do that? It will be worth more later!

Summary: don't sell. Never a good time.

I really believe gifting Bitcoin to friends and family is one of the most beautiful ways to introduce them to this space.

When I wanted to gift some sats to my niece recently, I thought about the physical aspect of gifting. I wanted something they could hold in their hands, but generated with strict security.

There are already great ways to do this, but I wanted to add another option to the table. I've been working on an open-source, air-gapped minimal Linux system (SignerOS) for offline wallet creation. I designed a specific "Gift Wallet" page for it:

https://signeros.github.io/signeros/gift_wallet.html

The concept is simple: Boot into an offline environment, generate the seed safely, write it down on the template, and fund the public address. It gives them a physical paper wallet that was born completely offline.

I just wanted to share this with the community for anyone who likes creating physical paper wallets for their loved ones. Would love to hear what you think!

ONE MONTH ago $7,000 was sent from Coinbase to Crypto.com. A "satoshi test" was required to prove ownership of the bitcoin address it came from (which neither Crypto nor EU regulation requires for exchanges). By one stupid click the "non-custodial" option was accidentally picked instead of "exchange". This has resulted in the impossibility of performing the "satishi test" and releasing the $7,000. We have been trying to get Crypto support to help for exactly ONE MONTH and they are utterly useless. They cannot reset the option to choose "exchange" again instead of "non-custodial" nor will they just manually approve it (their simple chain analysis can see it came from Coinbase).

Support has been completely utterly useless and for the first week would only respond with irrelevant copy and paste generic replies. It has been escalated countless times and they never fix or address the problem. We are now having to contact Crypto.com's regulatory bodies in various countries and god knows how long that will take. All they have to do is allow us to choose the correct transfer option again the coin came from (from Coinbase) which seems to be technically impossible for them. Or they could just manually approve the transfer by verifying with their simple chain analysis that the transfer came from Coinbase. They refuse to do either.

So I work in the AI agent space. Recently, I did an experiment with hooking up an AI agent to Bitcoin, the Bitcoin stack, Bitcoin Lightning, and Taproot Assets, and had agents basically connect with one another. And guys, it gets weird.

Like they make escrow contracts, it was so bizarre. They would construct the transactions, and then the human agent pilots(me) would sign them. i didnt give them their pwn private key, just the master pub key, to make transactions, It's a really interesting combo, and I think this is actually what's going to get very crazy.

Because, you know, for Bitcoin, what it can do, if you need the advanced features of writing your own smart contract in Bitcoin, like M of N, coordinating that with people to get it signed, it's really quite time-consuming and complicated. But if everybody has agents operating on this and constructing and coordinating the signatures of an M of N and time lock and hash lock, and all the cool stuff that you can really do with Bitcoin smart contracts, guys, the future is going to be so absolutely insane with this stuff. Agents construct and organize the coordination of the contract, and then humans review and sign.

And especially with Taproot assets, it is going to be crazy. The agents get to make their own currency. So I'm just wondering if anybody else in the community is experimenting with this. I'm seeing some pretty weird stuff of what the agents do.

What was really interesting is they made themselves a reputation token. Basically, they minted a receipt of their simulated goods and services that they were selling each other. Very, very interesting.

So I think we're going to get some really wild synergy when AI agents start mixing up with Bitcoin to get some really wild things.

And that got me thinking, AI Agents will be able to buy their own compute, energy, hire people, raise capital, pay dividends, maybe even make their own currencies on top of bitcoin and compete with central banks. I suspect people have already let agents loose with some crypto.

Guys, I think is a couple years away from getting really fucking crazy.

Hi I started as a total noob with an app (ocean bitcoin). Now when I try to redeem it to my Speed wallet it just tells me the address has to start with inbc. How do I resolve this?

I see many, many many miserable people who are showing disgust by the rise of BTC again. There are bloomberg reports and other big finance companies who say BTC will reach half a mill by the end of 2030. You would think majority of BTC community will stand up and celebrate, but sadly I see many partypoopers who display disgust and miserable behavior.

Don't tell me y'all started shorting at 60k which showed strong resistance level, close to 1 year cycle? What you really thought big money was gonna allow you to buy at 40k? If you all desire 40k then it would be impossible to buy at that price, basic supply and demand.

The fact that average Joe is not positioning himself during this rally makes me believe it's the real deal.

I'm a bitcoin relative noob. I've been aware of bitcoin since about 2013 and always thought it was a high risk ponzi scheme for stoners and tin foil hatters, for the simple reason that the only person I ever knew who was into bitcoin and openly talked about it, was exactly that. It wasn't till I got a bit older, and a bit wiser that I took the time to try and understand it.

I've run a successful business for a long time, but never made any life changing money or investments. Frankly, I'm pretty jaded about 'the system', government, inflation and taxation after working myself to the bone for a few decades with very little to show for it. To be fair, I'm fully aware that my life is likely better than most on this earth, so I don't want this to be about 'poor me'. I simply include this for context.

For me, self custodied bitcoin is a means of throwing a middle finger at the man, taking a step toward some self sovereignty, and making a financial decision that future me will thank me for. I lean more toward hodler than trader for what it's worth. The level of traditional financial influence and centralisation on bitcoin currently and in the future concerns me.

I find myself in social situations wanting to talk about bitcoin. Constantly. And it dawned on me recently that I'll never convince anyone without coming across as that tin foil hatter I knew from years ago. Like me on my own bitcoin journey, I realise people need to do their own research and come to their own conclusions. If it's right for them, they'll find it.

But it makes me wonder... what should I 'do my own research' on next? (You don't know what you don't know right!?)

So I wanted to ask you all, the bitcoin brains trust, to plant a seed:

<? > - Do your own research...

Post Edit: It doesn't have to be bitcoin related...I don't need anymore convincing about bitcoin.

I’m the developer of Aura, a Bitcoin-only self-custody wallet. This isn’t a launch post, and I’m intentionally leaving out the download link.

The recent discussions here about wallet entropy and reproducible firmware made me rethink how developers use “open source” as if it closes the trust problem. It doesn’t.

Public code alone doesn’t prove that:

- the binary in an app store came from the published commit;

- key generation is actually using the entropy source the code appears to use;

- recovery works outside the original app;

- an Electrum server or notification service cannot learn more than users expect;

- or an audit still applies to the version people are installing today.

My current idea of a minimum “evidence package” for a new wallet is:

1. Signed release tags and a documented, independently verifiable build path.

2. A plain-English threat model: what stays on-device, what leaves, and what a compromised device or server can do.

3. Published key-generation and storage details, derivation paths, and recovery test vectors.

4. An independent audit tied to a specific commit, including its scope and unresolved findings.

5. Own-node support and an honest privacy explanation for public Electrum servers.

6. A public security contact and a changelog that clearly identifies security-relevant changes.

For transparency: Aura currently publishes its source and release tags, documents its BIP39 and BIP44/49/84 recovery paths, signs transactions locally, and supports a custom Electrum server.

It does not currently have a published independent audit or a public method for reproducing the App Store binary. Those are real gaps, and I don’t want to hide them behind the words “open source.”

If you could require only two items before trying a new wallet with a small amount, which two would they be?

And what single missing item would make you walk away immediately?

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I Just checked Right now, and you can do it as well in the coin glass website the value of the Long, and it was indicated to 4 Billion dollars, which means brokers will lose this money if betcoin goes up....and before one week the value of Short was just 3 billion dollars, and that was the main reason for that big movement from 64k to 79 k, and all that position have been closed......I hope the same thing will not happen again if Bitcoin goes down to 60K ....

4 Billion dollars is really a big amount of money will brokers lose it if Bitcoin goes up ? And if Bitcoin goes down, it will not stop at 60k this time, I think it will stop at 52k .

What do you think?

I feel the answer is just "yes."
But like for those who stopped tracking, how did you do it?

Im so obsessed with checking price, i feel im wasting my energy and time.

There's a radio in your pocket that hears Bluetooth packets all day: trackers, sensors, beacons. Your phone typically discards every one of them. I built EE Gateway to forward them instead.

Open BLE networks need ground coverage the way AirTags need iPhones. Think like a mini cell tower in your pocket - where each phone provides about 100 meters coverage. Your phone can now earn Sats for relaying BLE packets.

How it works

• Your phone (or Umbrel node) scans for BLE broadcasts. Receive-only, it never transmits.
• 1 sat per unique device identifier (they're ephemeral IDs) per UTC day, paid to the first gateway to forward it.
• Settlement runs daily over Lightning to your address.

The honest caveats, before anyone asks...

• Earnings track BLE density near you. Logistics corridors are busy, residential streets mostly aren't, and you won't know until you field test. Nobody's getting rich on this today.
• Pending sats are held custodially until your total clears 1,000 sats, then they land at your Lightning address.
• Every packet carries the GPS fix age and accuracy it was heard with. A phone without a fresh fix drops the packet, so the coverage data stays honest.

The Umbrel/Raspberry Pi version is open source (GPL-3.0).

The ask: run it for a few days and tell me what you think.

Download Links

Umbrel App: https://apps.umbrel.com/app/ee-gateway

App Store: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/ee-gateway/id6792848842
Play Store: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.encryptedenergy.gateway.android&hl=en_US

Site: https://encryptedenergy.com

Every Bitcoin cycle has done the exact same three things, in the exact same order, since 2017

New all time high. Brutal drawdown, 80%+ historically. Then a slow reclaim that eventually breaks the old high completely. 2017 did it. 2021 did it. 2025 just did it again, peaking above $126k before correcting hard into this year.

What gets lost in the panic every single cycle is that the drawdown itself has gotten shallower each time, not deeper. 2013 lost roughly 85%. 2017 lost roughly 84%. 2021 lost roughly 77%. Same pattern, same fear, less damage each round as the asset matures and more capital treats corrections as entries instead of exits.

The part almost nobody believes while its happening, every previous "this time it's different, it's finally over" moment preceded a full recovery and a new high. Every one. Doesnt mean this cycle guarantees the same outcome, nothing's guaranteed, but four cycles of identical rhythm is a pattern worth knowing exists before assuming this one breaks it.

History doesnt repeat perfectly. It just rhymes enough to be worth paying attention to.

I agree that part of Bitcoin’s recent rise is likely tied to panic in the bond market, but I also suspect it’s connected to recent capital outflows from Russia.

There’s been a short bank run driven by fears of government asset seizures. While some money is going into brokerage accounts, those assets can still be frozen or seized. I suspect some Russians are moving money into Bitcoin as a more reliable and easily transferable store of value. This is bound to have a positive long-term impact, I’ll check my buddy’s Chainalysis account to see if I can confirm this ????

Curious if people are using BTC for everyday purchases or mostly keeping it as savings.

Are there typical sayings/statements that every hardcore Bitcoiner understands?

Just putting it out there. Looking for ideas for a gift.

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Just read that US Treasury intervention in the bond markets have not worked and the yields climbed back up before the intervention. It’s obvious that the US Treasury is trying their best to reduce interest rates. I would not be surprised if they announce more of the same, failed intervention policies on Monday. Money printer is going to go into overdrive.

We’re going to the moon ????

I just bought more at 77k. I know it’s stupid but my nervous system is telling me to buy it. Wtfffffff!!

I mean, wtf. Nobody knows shit about fuck. Yet here we are again…

Damn, Bitcoin just keeps rising, will it hit $80000 today?

After Scott Bessents intervention and manipulation in the US debt market the US treasury and US dollar have most likely lost safe haven status. Money that used to flock here will now seek out alternative vehicles to put their capital that IS NOT CONTROLLED BY THE GOVERNMENT.

This is what Bitcoin was made to do. This is the moment Bitcoin has been waiting for since it was created. High how can it go? There is no ceiling on bitcoins price as long as the US government debases its currency and manipulates its debt.

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I sold all my BTC last week and bought SpaceX stock after Elon announced the Grok bot.

So naturally, because the universe absolutely loves rubbing my financial decisions in my face, Bitcoin is now destined to MOOOON!!

You’re welcome, guys. my sacrifice was necessary

If BTC goes vertical from here, just remember who made it possible!!! :')

A while ago I posted that maybe the days of those crazy 10% Bitcoin candles were behind us.

And now we’re casually getting back-to-back 7–8% days lol.

Love to see it.

Hopefully the momentum keeps going — more adoption, more inflows, more people getting exposure to Bitcoin.

Feels good seeing BTC move like BTC again.

Are you buying or waiting for a pull back because you were late to buy?

Am I one of the few that believes this is a pump and dump? It just feels like classic pump on news that will eventually be sold off into a new bottom? We've barely had a year of a bear market. Why is everyone seem so sure that was the bottom?

Had a somber thought, the people affected by the cold card exploit gotta be hurting right now. I know I would feel like absolute garbage right now if I lost my entire savings, 7 years of stacking and sacrificing to first lose it all and then watch as Bitcoin pumps 15K in two days.

Getting forced off the train, then watch it moon. I’m sorry brothers and sisters in btc.

The most expensive words in investing.

While I’m a long term BTC bull, I truly believe the bear market isn’t over. So far there’s been no confirmation of the bull market starting, or the bear market ending. Counter trend rallies should be expected, whichever way they present themselves.

This recent pump has been glorious but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see 58k again. Recently everyone has decided that the FED is now dovish/neutral and won’t increase rates this fall. But considering the impact of the treasury’s statements on their purchasing of 10 and 30 year bonds was erased in 24 hours, I think the FED might HAVE to be hawkish. And looking at what the FED minutes stated yesterday (everyone seems to have brushed it off because of the news of bond buybacks…how convenient), I think the FED is ready to be hawkish. I think the bonds showed that clearly the market doesn’t believe the administration has things under control and I believe they want to see the FED take action. That doesn’t guaranteed rate hikes, but even the threat of rate hikes is enough at this point. That said, if the FED becomes more hawkish, I think the September meeting can get spicy and considering the Clarity act might be a sell the news event, I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit one last low in September/October. Lining up perfectly with the 4 year cycle.

Now of course, no one knows anything for sure. But considering people have been so quick to call the bottom and bulls have been dancing on the graves of bears, I think this may be just another counter trend rally. One fuelled by an enormous amount of shorts.

I’m curious to hear your thoughts and add any factors you think I missed???? thanks for reading????

TLDR
- Just another counter trend rally fuelled by shorts
- Clarity act and September FOMC might be final leg down
- 4 year cycle could still be intact

All of a sudden it feels cheap.

Last week it barely felt worth 60k

Now it feels like it’s worth 100k at least

Wtf lol

1st rule: Never short Bitcoin.

2nd rule: Never wait for the bottom.

3rd rule: 4 year cycle is: Accumulation, Growth, Bubble, and Crash.

4th rule: DCA buy weekly/monthly during the Accumulation and Growth years.

5th rule: Sell a fixed number weekly/monthly during the Bubble year to lock in profit.

6th rule: Never sell more Bitcoin than you've bought each cycle. Ideally, leave half for the next cycle.

7th rule: Profits are taken from fools who think they don't have to follow the rules.

If you’ve never experienced a bitcoin bull market, nothing can prepare you for the sheer amount of dopamine your brain will have to contend with for such a protracted period of time, especially if you have a serious amount of money invested.

The price kept going up, FOR 3 YEARS, it was insane. There were weeks when my net worth leaped up 6 figures. I walked differently, I thought differently. When I noticed a bill was a little high, or my car had been door dinged, or I needed to otherwise pay for something unexpected I laughed it off. Nothing could touch me, It was drug-like.

Problems didn’t exist.

My job? Fuck it.

BITCOIN

We made it baby.

I never really had money growing up or in my twenties and early thirties. But I have money now. And no bitcoin bull market will ever hit as hard as the 23-25 run did for me ever again no matter how high the price goes.

But it will for the people new to Bitcoin, to them I say, I don’t know if it will continue straight into the bull from here, but hold on to your tits coz it’s gonna be a wild ride when it does.

… hence why the market is up, you’re welcome.

Jokes aside, I am going to be a proud homeowner soon so I guess there is that. I sold during the last bull cycle as well and paid off all my student loans as well as giving myself a good chunk of change I’ve been holding onto for a down payment on a house. In all honesty I only had a small amount of what I had been stacking over the years left and I decided to sell to give myself a bit more of a liquid savings cushion.

Thank you so much to BTC and to this community for enabling me to excel during such challenging global economic times. I hope this next bull run enables many of you the same way BTC has enabled me.

When bitcoin does +14% in 5 days, as it just did, I always feel like my stack is too small to really appreciate the pump and feel content.

But when bitcoin is really low, I cannot pull the trigger and really go all-in. Sure, I maintained my DCA all throughout the bear market, but I kept cash aside by fear of a yet stronger dip.

At least I didn't sell or interrupted my DCA, so I am not a paper hand, but I don't think I can consider myself a granite hand either. More like a wooden hand ahah

Who else does not feel fully satisfied seeing bitcoin pump like that ?

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I dca aggressive thank fuck, but why tf is btc back near the 70k range ?? Where are all the 55k people at now?

BTC’s move today was honestly wild.

The market looked pretty dead, then suddenly the upside starts accelerating and shorts get caught on the wrong side.

Once liquidations started kicking in, it became a snowball — shorts closing → more buying → higher price → more shorts getting squeezed.

Now I’m more interested in what happens after the dust settles.

Was this the start of something bigger, or just another leverage flush?

I know we’re supposed to thank someone for making the price go up.

All the signs were there. I feel sorry for the cycle bros who were waiting for $40k.

It turns out that fractals of past candles are not a good reference for how price will move in the future.

There will still be people in this thread unironically defending the notion that we get a 20% dump within the next 2 months.

EDIT: Eat shit, bears. I'm sure $40k will be right around the corner.

I am relatively new to the space, I honestly discovered Coinkite when the hack first happened. Obviously curiosity bit me and I went to their site (obviously didn't buy lol). It just made me sad, they seem to make genuinely cool BTC utilities for the masses and take their BTC maximalism seriously. Stuff like the satscard, the opendime, and yes even the coldcard itself.

It just sucks because some of this stuff is genuinely cool and useful but people aren't going to trust them.

I just hope they learn from this. From what I read they seemed a little cocky. But if they manage to survive as a company I do think they do make some cool things.

Please no hate, I'm just expressing how I feel.

Talking about: https://www.reddit.com/user/davebitcoin/

aka https://www.walletrecoveryservices.com/

aka https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meet-technician-unlocks-forgotten-crypto-171152427.html

if so, has anyone used his services recently?

also what happened to his TrustPilot profile?
https://www.trustpilot.com/review/walletrecoveryservices.com

Being slightly passionate about watches and bitcoin, I keep thinking about bitcoin in the same way I think about watches. Why did people need watches when they already knew whether it was morning, afternoon or evening?

The watch industry grew gradually because society became more dependent on precise time. Work, transport, productivity, efficiency and eventually competitive advantage made precision more valuable.
So why bitcoin now when we already have bank accounts, credit cards, loans and a financial system that mostly works?

I think that is a much more interesting way to approach bitcoin. Not “will the price go up?”, but what does bitcoin actually allow you to do or own that the existing system does not? And if you cannot answer that yet, maybe there is nothing wrong with simply not owning it yet.

I have a relatively large amount of cash set aside for Bitcoin. I already DCA weekly and plan to continue doing so, but over the last few weeks I’ve also been adding extra lump-sum buys.

I’m torn between three options:

Keep my normal weekly DCA and do nothing else

Split the remaining cash over the rest of the year (or bis November) and add small lump sums regularly and spend the whole amount within the next 2 months

Invest most or all of it now and forget about it

My biggest concern is sitting on a large cash position until October or later, only to see BTC much higher by then. On the other hand, I could invest everything now and watch the price be significantly lower in 6 months.

For those who have been in a similar situation, what strategy did you choose and why?

And of course, nobody knows. Just here exchanging some ideas.

And btw, remember that Lumping statistically beats DCA ;).

Cheers guys

I’ve been dca for the last 2 years every week, I’ve got a decent lump sum I want to drop into btc but I’m worried now is not the right time but I certainly don’t want this to take off and be left buying late….. again. Any thoughts ?

I am interested in crypto but I am a complete noob in this. I want some credible sources to learn about it. Can you help me in it pls?

This was the article I read that got me interested in Bitcoin. There's a bit in there about Gartner Hype Cycles which always stuck with with me and comes back during these 'boring' days, weeks and months.

The plateau persists for a prolonged period of time and forms, as Casey calls it, a “stable, boring low”. During the plateau, public interest in the technology will dwindle but it will continue to be developed and the collection of strong believers will slowly grow. A new base is then set for the next iteration of the hype cycle as external observers recognize the technology is not going away and that investing in it may not be as risky as it seemed during the crash phase of the cycle. The next iteration of the hype cycle will bring in a much larger set of adopters and be far greater in magnitude.

The full thing is well worth a read if you've lost some enthusiasm recently!

Stay strong out there folks.

Been sitting on this for a couple of days because I keep going back and forth on it.

We're about 49% off the October high, price has been glued to the mid 60s for weeks, and realized vol is about as dead as I've seen it. Everyone I know is either quietly DCAing or has just stopped opening the app.

Watched a Milk Road interview with Matt Crosby, onchain analyst, and his argument is basically that the capitulation already happened. He walks through several indicators that hit levels which historically only show up around bear market bottoms, and his take is that waiting for a clean $50K wick, or for an October bottom because "that's what usually happens," is anchoring to a pattern instead of reading the actual data.

The part I found more interesting than the number was the framing. Long bleed, then sideways at low volatility, is what bottoms look like in hindsight, and it never feels like an opportunity while you're sitting in it. Bottoms are boring, not dramatic.

Where I'm skeptical: onchain bottom signals have fired early plenty of times before. And most of those indicators were calibrated on cycles where BTC didn't have this much ETF and institutional flow underneath it. The holder base is structurally different now, so I'm not sure the historical comparisons carry the same weight they used to.

Real question for people who have been through more than one cycle: do you still weight onchain metrics for timing, or has that stopped being useful for you? And does this stretch feel like late 2022 to anyone, or is that just what we all want it to feel like?

I understand the vulnerability does not automatically compromise the wallet because the Safe 7 uses multiple security layers, but the hardware issue still concerns me.
Would you keep using the current Safe 7, or wait for the revised chip and upgrade? Do you think Trezor should offer existing owners an exchange or upgrade option?
Also curious what extra protection others recommend, such as a strong passphrase or multisig.

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With the block subsidy decreasing every halving, miners will eventually have to rely almost entirely on transaction fees. How do you envision the mining ecosystem adapting to ensure the network remains highly secure? Will Layer 2 solutions like Lightning reduce on-chain fees too much, or will large-scale institutional settlements keep the base layer fee market robust enough?

Since Bitcoin coin releases use a halving cycle will all of the Bitcoin ever fully be released or will it just get close to 100% but then the halving cycle goes into smaller and smaller pieces but never all of the Bitcoin?

What about for coins that release a percentage of coins in a time period (every year, month, etc.)? Will they ever release 100% of their coins or just close to 100%?

Id like to hear them!

Why buy and then freak out !

The hardware manufacturer is Bitbox, and all were responsibly disclosed:

• Remote multisig theft attack (Coldcard, 2020/11)
• Ransom attack on passphrase handling (Trezor/Keepkey, 2020/08)
• Bitcoin mainnet/testnet cross-account signing (Coldcard, 2020/08)
• Malicious Change in Mixed Transactions (Trezor, 2020/03)

There may be more of them that I haven't found.

This is extremely impressive from them.

Additionally, they were the first to make their hardware wallet (the Bitbox02) resistant against a very advanced attack: the nonce-covert channel attack. AFAIK this attack has never taken place yet, and the only hardware wallets resistant to it are the Bitbox02 and the 3 Blockstream Jades.

Disclaimer: I do not work for Bitbox, but have been a fan of them for a while and think they're underrated. I'm also fan of Blockstream and their Jade wallets.

Just like how very few people were paying attention and buying bitcoin in 2012/13 , and then you see the gains 10+ years later , and not just regular stock gains but you know , buy it at $5 , have the balls to hold through everything and then 10 years later you made 120k+ on a $5 investment.

What according to yall is the Bitcoin of today that 10+years from now , we look back and be like damn I wish I bought just $100 of this back in 2026?

I need a way to buy real bitcoin (no ETFs) where I can store it safely on my Trezor or on my raspberry pi zero with seedsigner (still thinking about it). I’ve been looking for a long time, and the best option I’ve found so far is a Bitcoin Well ATM about a two-hour bus ride away, which has a 7% fee. It isn't terrible considering it’s no-KYC, but I’m going to DCA for at least one to two years until I turn 18, so I want to make sure there aren’t other ways that could be cheaper—maybe around 5% would be better.

I do have a TFSA, but it's in my dad's name, and using that would kind of ruin the fun of stacking real bitcoin. Any suggestions?

I know about the lopp website and the review of the Keystone Tablet Plus, but for my needs it will work fine.

My question is if anyone knows how big is the hole on the Keystone Tablet Plus? I have one on the way and wanted to buy a lock for it.

Also, if anyone does plan on buying one of these things despite the review, periodically look on Ebay. I bought a brand new one in the box for twenty five bucks, they are normally seventy.

Thanks!

Hi! My friend wants to trade using my money, and in return, he’ll just take a percentage of the total profit. I’m already somewhat open to investing in the stock market, but I wanted to ask—what’s the usual range of monthly returns people aim for when trading crypto? I just want to have an idea of what’s considered realistic.

So i have 2 keys from.same company and looking to do a 3-2 multisig.

I wonder if I take the seed from one of them to another vendor later on make it more secure or should a new seed be created just for that vendor?

Also thinking of generating a seed as bip85 for easier to back up just in case. From what I know if the bip85 seed is used in a multi SIG one can not are tx if they don't have the descriptor

Hi guys i wanted to ask where i can buy bitcoin without any KYS and pay witt xoom on hodl hodl i didnt find right order

After the coldcard hack, I am Glad that I never had one, and the only Reasons where that I didn’t Like the Fact that they dont have a screen to check transactions and they where Not popular in Europe where I live. So Right now I am good with my cold Storage but I am wondering how to improve the security Level?

I see that people that survived the hack where lucky because they used a passphrase, from what I understand the main argument for passphrase wasn’t to improve entropy but was to be more secure in case of stealing and robbery.
So what are my options if I already have a single sign wallet like trezor ? Multi sig? Add passphrase? Something else?
I am not really afraid of robbery In real life, I am thinking more about reducing the level of trust into a wallet company.

Hello, I'm hoping someone can help me with an issue I'm having with my bitcoin core wallet. I have an offline laptop running ubuntu with core installed as the signing device. I also have another computer online running core and sparrow wallet as a coordinator. I copied an Xpub from the offline machine into sparrow and everything looks good. When I create a transaction in sparrow and try to sign it on the offline machine I get an error message. "failed to sign. Specified sighash value does not match value stored in psbt". The Xpub I copied was the m/84 and sighash on sparrow is default setting.

Wouldn't it have made more sense to send the money to all different wallets and also not to do it all in one go. If you move the money slowly as the hack is discovered each into a new account, yes you might lose some of the money because ppl move it out but not everybody will do that in time. But by doing that, now you cannot distinguish between the hacker and someone who just wanted to move their money out of their wallet.

Now they have the entire world and law enforcement looking at this one account.

hola! alguien me puede dar un poco de bitcoins? Quiero empezar a invertir! Gracias

Come lo vedete un piano d’accumulo su bitcoin ?

Hello I’m Santiago, I just wanted to say I know a lot of people have taken some big hits in this community, stay strong and protect your bitcoin at all cost I love you (fyi everyone should try shrooms at least once)

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

I'm curious about the practical side of this.

If the attackers really have hundreds of BTC stolen from the Coldcard incident, how do they realistically turn that into usable money?

For example:

• If they send it directly to a KYC exchange, wouldn't the exchange potentially flag the coins as stolen and connect the deposit to their identity?
• If they use a DEX to swap BTC into another coin, the transactions are still publicly visible, so does that actually solve the problem?
• If they sell P2P/OTC, isn't finding someone willing to buy a large amount of obviously tainted BTC pretty difficult (and potentially risky for both sides)?
• Could they simply hold the BTC indefinitely and wait for the attention around the theft to die down?

Peter fraud is the worst person in the bitcoin ecosystem, and he's been pushing for this idea for years which will undo the *one* thing which makes Bitcoins economics unique. This person needs to be driven out of the btc ecosystem. no one is paying any attention.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OmAAeEm1nIE

Goes without saying, just like using dice and generating your own entropy.

If coldcard users had half their funds in coldcard and the other half, in say, trezor, they wouldnt have been so rekt

People think if you print $100 and add it into the economy that it actually creates and adds $100 worth of buying power

This is totally incorrect

What it actually does is dilute $100 worth of buying power from all existing dollars to give it to the newly printed dollars

Newly printed dollars only have value because they are stealing value from existing dollars in the system

It is a merely a hidden form of hidden, disproportionately affecting the poor (those who don't own assets)

(Referring to prebuilt versions.)
While I do not own one (yet) myself, I keep wondering: since it has only volatile memory, the seed needs to be entered every time, through QR scan. That in itself is a huge risk. I would not want such a risky QR code laying around.

Is the version with the card reader better? It would allow for encrypted storage of my seedphrase.

Bring up Bitcoin anywhere and someone says it's mainly a tool for criminals.

But every Bitcoin transaction lands on a permanent public ledger anyone can examine, forever, which is an odd design for something meant to hide money. Cash disappears the moment it changes hands and leaves nothing to trace. US Treasury assessments still name cash, not crypto, as the dominant vehicle for laundering, and researchers tracking blockchain activity keep finding illicit use is only a fraction of total volume.

Why is this argument so sticky, despite the lack of merit?

Hello everyone.

Today I was checking Bitcoin, I was never into this kind of matter or interests BUT today I was just browsing the web and checking it out, I'm new in this world and I wish to leanr as I was always curious.

I was impressed when I saw that 1 Bitcoin = 55457,88 €.

I'm interested here about some advice, sound advice if possible, for someone who wishes to get into Bitcoin and start with buying small and eventually grow in time.
Is there anything that I can do? What should I look for on the Bitcoin market and it's fluctuations?

In light of the ColdCard incident, I have created a system that allows anyone to easily generate their seed words using only ordinary dice or playing cards.

Each seed word requires only 3 rolls of two dice or dealing 3 shuffled cards, allowing users to generate their own entropy offline without any bias.

https://github.com/seed-cat/analog-seed-entropy

I started buying bitcoin in June of 2021, “to the moon” I said to myself. And surely to the moon it went, until about November. I experienced a premium bag holding experience for the next 18 months.

I never stopped buying though. By August of 2023 I achieved the coveted 1 BTC milestone. Then SBF sent the entire industry into Hades. I still look back at that divet in the chart he caused with fond memories. Twitter (yes it was still Twitter back then) was basically setting bitcoin’s headstone at that time. “Dead for good” they asserted. “Done forever”.

I hear the same things today during my second bear market, maybe life is a flat circle. The same people who emphatically declared bitcoin dead back then are doing the same thing today.

I can’t say when it will happen but I know this. We will see green the likes of which have never been seen before and it will be glorious. It will be so green you will put your phone into night mode to save your retinas and get some well needed sleep!

An everlasting green.

My portfolio is still green to this day, in the middle of this bear market. The one after Bitcoin was declared dead for the millionth time.

According to the estimates:

• 11.97M BTC (57%) - individual holders
• 3.507M BTC (16.7%) - estimated lost BTC
• 1.26M BTC (6%) - corporate treasuries
• 1.218M BTC (5.8%) - ETFs
• 1.092M BTC (5.2%) - Satoshi’s estimated holdings
• 1.008M BTC (4.8%) - yet to be mined
• 546K BTC (2.6%) - governments
• 399K BTC (1.9%) - miners

From our perspective, this is a strong long-term signal for Bitcoin. As adoption expands and more capital enters the market, there is a limited amount of BTC available to meet that demand. The important point is not simply that Bitcoin has a 21M cap. It is that a large portion of those coins is already held, inactive, or potentially inaccessible and that combination is what makes the long-term story so compelling.

The Coldcard debacle was so shocking because everyone thought they were the gold standard.

Unchained and Casa are the gold standard of multi-sig platforms, support and user experiences - but a leak in their customer databases would be the next big clusterf***. One could say the same for Coinbase - but it's all related: nothing is guaranteed or assured when it comes to our privacy and security.

Am I right to be worried? What could one do to get ahead of that kind of leak?

Something I keep running into when I try to plan this out properly. Every personal finance framework I've used puts a number on things. Percentage in emergency fund, percentage toward retirement, percentage in whatever else. Clean allocations, everything accounted for. But when Bitcoin comes up, nobody really agrees on what that number should look like for someone who isn't all in but also isn't just dabbling. Some people say five percent and sleep fine. Others say anything under twenty isn't worth the admin of tracking it. And there's a version of the argument that says the percentage barely matters if your time horizon is long enough, which sounds reasonable until a rough month hits and you're staring at a number that moved way more than the five percent weighting would suggest it should.

The part that genuinely confuses me is that the percentage feels like it should scale with conviction, but conviction isn't a fixed thing. It shifts based on what you read, what the price did last week, whether you feel good about the rest of your finances that month. That seems like a bad basis for an allocation decision, but it might also just be how most people actually operate and nobody admits it.

What did people land on, and did you get there by actual reasoning or did you just pick a number that felt okay and stick with it?

First off, I'm a Singaporean and am vested in bitcoin. Singapore has strict but clear regulations on digital tokens and CEXes. No capital gain tax. So not fud posting or anything.

Reading The Bitcoin Standard, around 20% through. Here are some thoughts.

The book The Bitcoin Standard focuses on monetary systems, salability of money, hard vs soft money etc, and states that gold as hard money brought about prosperity and wealth in nations while soft money and in turn, inflation brought about their ruin. Two glaring omissions are the economics of and exploitation via slavery and colonism, two major mechanism that funnelled enormous wealth from Africa and Asia to Western nations.

In particular, Qing China used silver as its currency but was impoverished through two Opium Wars, and forced to pay massive reparations to the Western nations for their trouble and ceded land to them as well. Again, the collapse of Qing's economy instead is attributed in the book to its usage of the "weaker" currency, silver, when at the turn of the 19th century, the West, in particular, Great Britain, was having a massive trade deficit as it wanted tea, silk, porcelain, and other refined products from China but had little in return to offer for trade. If not for the combined blunt force of the military might of eight nations brought to bear on Qing China, usage of silver was not an issue as it had a healthy and robust industrial base and near monopoly of luxury goods at that time.

Qing China had corruption eroding the nation from within. But what it lacked was modern weaponry, not the gold standard.

Between gold, silver, fiat, and gun barrels, it is easy to see which is the harder of them. With enough weapons, you can make a nation use monopoly money as their currency if you so wishes.

---------------------

Will continue reading and learn more.

So I just got into the Bitcoin market and got some amount of Bitcoin I want to transfer them from the exchange to a self custodial wallet like coinbase like a crypto wallet kind of. Recommend me some good safe and accessible wallet or tell me where do you store your crypto.

I’m 42. New to BTC. Looks like a good time to get in. 1% of my total NW. Will DCA weekly from here for life or until my thesis changes.

Phong Le says late summer has been quiet, but he expects more policy and industry momentum around crypto this autumn.

Goldman Sachs just said a September Fed hike looks very unlikely, and they see that as good for BTC.

Anyone had issues with this exchange recently? I tried to withdraw cash - to a bank account I've withdrawn to before, I have two transactions sat in pending for 3 weeks now. Their support 'escalated' to the appropriate team but not sure to who because they haven't actually responded. I chased them up after a week, and they 're-escalated' but again whoever received the escalation didn't even communicate with me. Really disappointed as I had my btc with them since 2013.

Moved some btc over to Kraken and withdrew within an hour into the same account.

Ask (and answer!) away! Here are the general rules:

• If you'd like to learn something, ask.
• If you'd like to share knowledge, answer.
• Any question about Bitcoin is fair game.

And don't forget to check out /r/BitcoinBeginners

You can sort by new to see the latest questions that may not be answered yet.

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

If you don't get an answer to your question, you can try phrasing it differently or commenting again tomorrow.

Please check the previous discussion thread for unanswered questions.

How can you sweep a paper wallet using Sparrow Wallet on an offline PC?

I’m trying to create a PSBT offline. I need to enter my public key paper wallet on an online PC, then transfer it to an offline PC where I’ll enter my private key. How can I enter the public key on the offline PC using Sparrow Wallet?

Im a very extraordinary forward thinker and am literally intelligent enough to where i can literally see things in advance. This foresight and insane ability to convince normal people im right in matters of facts and logic led me to convince most of my friends and family to leverage assets to borrow cash to buy BTC at 104k.

They cant see the forest for the trees like I do and they literally know NOTHING about these large dynamic systems like crypto or even economic basics.

Long story short they are NOT happy right now and liquidity is at an all time low in my friend group and family. I am normally quite able to handle any economic question on my own but this is beginning to bleed into be personal life and its affecting me dau to day.

What do we do from here? Some of these people are acting like a te.poraru downturn is going to literally kill them and im having trouble getting through to some of these people.

Help me out yall.

Inspired by EFF's Dice-Generated Passphrases. Their list has 7,776 words. https://www.eff.org/dice

I found a longer list of 17,579 words and added numbers to it. Original list made by - https://github.com/sts10

Roll six d6 and match the number on the list.

Do you need a list of 17,579 words to choose from? Probably not, but its here if you want.

https://github.com/Spishak/Create-A-Passphrase-With-Six-D6-Dice-And-This-17579-Word-List/tree/main

Bitcoin volatility is at historic lows. If it stays this quiet, people leave crypto for high-vol stocks. The dopamine is gone.

FOMC is this Thursday. More hurdles ahead. Watch the volatility.

I'm experimenting with the idea of generating a new mnemonic for a wallet with dice. I've never owned a hardware wallet (yet) and and wanting to generate a new seed for one in the future.

SIDE NOTE: I'M not going to use the entropy generated that I share here. YOU SHOULD NOT use the entropy example here either. DON'T use the websites with an online computer. KNOW what you're doing before you use any information from this thread.

Back to the question. I bought dice from the dollar store (yes, just testing things out right now) and rolled all 15 in the package a few times and generate entropy. After 99 rolls (this is what I read in a few places, I looked for websites that converted the entropy to a 24 word mnemonic.

3653462546461144335434522636454342256326513252111434324356415313433346212641323141661614122625351213 (DO NOT USE THIS YOURSELF!!)

I pasted this into various sites:

• https://getcoinplate.com/bip39-seed-phrase-mnemonics-generator-offline-online-tool/
• https://bitcoiner.guide/seed/#/seed
• https://bitcoinistrue.com/tools/dice-to-seed/
• https://github.com/veebch/Bip39-Dice (more manual, printed PDF)
• https://github.com/RushabhParmar12/dice-to-seed/blob/main/dice-to-seed.html

The first word of the mnemonic that is generated by the above 4 are as follows, in order:

• 640 - exotic
• 439 - cycle
• 61 - always
• 632 - exclude
• 632 - exclude

The first one, I used advanced mode, turned on entropy, chose dice 1-6 and pasted it in. I noticed that it changed the entries under "Filtered Entropy" so all 6's are 0's. Then a 3 became 1, 0 became 1, then 5 to 0 and the next 3 is 0. I tried changing the mnemonic length and PBKDF2 rounds but still didn't match any other generator.

The second said that my "176" bit of entropy was lacking for a 24 word seed, and I needed 256 die rolls... so I continued:

3653462546461144335434522636454342256326513252111434324356415313433346212641323141661614122625351213424633161623322125164332116246665112353222644653362342435442642536413555435524466156533541154654213346523215324224621243621665516654134426356356525456124642 (AGAIN, DO NOT USE THIS YOURSELF!!)

After pasting these into the 4 sites (and manual PDF), I then was given these for 1st words:

• doctor
• issue
• uniform
• exclude
• exclude

So, the first 3 are calculating very differently.

However, when I take the HEX from the entropy section of the last one (4ef315daeb1456608ee4b5784f166993f11fc6e7e608f908d8d47f6d8d3c955f) and paste that HEX into the first, it gives me "exclude" as the first word. The list then updates to:

• exclude
• discover
• --- no HEX option
• --- no HEX option
• exclude (source of HEX)

I forget where I read this, but the idea of using multiple mnemonic generators with the same dice rolls was stressed to be sure there wasn't something underhanded being done in the code that selected words. If that's the case, why are most of these different?

Either way, with some manipulation, 3 agree on the first word, so those are likely safe to trust. Still I'm liking the PDF manual version.

Does anyone else have experience with this approach and have further input?

EDIT:

So I figured this out, but it is not possible to number the entire list as it is too big for the numbers to work. The most you can number is up to line number 9072 which is 66666, and then it reverted back to 11111.

This is the Python script I used as a plugin in Notepad++

editor.beginUndoAction() number = 1111 for line in range(editor.getLineCount()): # Find the next number containing only 1-6 while any(d in str(number) for d in "0789"): number += 1 editor.insertText(editor.positionFromLine(line), str(number) + " ") number += 1 editor.endUndoAction() 

END Edit

So just for fun, I wanted to add number lines to this word list:

https://github.com/sts10/orchard-street-wordlists/blob/main/lists/orchard-street-long.txt

I know how to add line numbers, but the problem is, I would like to omit any numbers that contain, (7, 8, 9, 0), and continue an incremental count as if those numbers dont exist.

My intention was to make a word list like the EFF pass phrase word list. https://www.eff.org/files/2016/07/18/eff_large_wordlist.txt

I want the numbers to start at 11111 and increment by one, but not add the numbers that are not on six sided dice.

Now I now a word list this large is not necessary and the EFF list is perfectly fine, but I wanted to do this for my own fun. Turns out, I cant figure out an easy way to do this.

Any ideas??

Thanks!

i honestly want to pass the money to my wife if i die but without giving her or someone multisigs that they would have to put together to her have acess to the money

There are some simple facts about the Coldcard Exploit that cannot be ignored. If one does not believe the official version, the following scenario(s) might be a logical consequence of the incomplete explanations we have seen so far.

1. Dice Entropy (the dice roll) has been and continues to be promoted worldwide by Coldcard itself and the entire Bitcoin community as the gold standard. The idea that this was an isolated "Korean phenomenon" falls far short of the mark and distracts from the actual, deep-seated contradictions.

2. The sudden "blow-up" of the system suggests an intent to generate maximum panic (Psy-op) and a call for regulated, government-run custodians. A rational, financially motivated hacker would have drained the keys unnoticed and in small increments over the course of years to avoid raising the alarm.

3. A government entity might have achieved a secret mathematical breakthrough that makes it possible to calculate private keys from certain public keys. The flaw in the Coldcard is merely a scapegoat intended to prevent a much larger panic...

As many users upload their xpub to third-party software (e.g., portfolio trackers, tax tools, or unsecured nodes) to monitor their wallets in "watch-only" mode. A government actor that monitors or hacks these servers would have access to a massive database of xpubs from around the world.

If intelligence agencies or companies specifically tapped into xpub databases from certain crypto service providers that were more popular in some countries (e.g., Canada or Europe) than in others (e.g., South Korea), this perfectly explains the precise geographic distribution of the victims. The attacker had the xpubs for Region X and was able to calculate the weakened keys in fractions of a second, whereas for Region Y, they would have had to search "blindly."

An xpub (or zpub for Native SegWit) contains two critical pieces of information in plain text: the master public key and the so-called chaincode. This eliminates the entire hash layer. The attacker can directly launch a mathematical attack on the elliptic curve.

If an attacker possesses a wallet’s xpub, they can simulate the mathematical structure of the entire key tree (BIP32) in memory. They no longer have to laboriously hash addresses for each attempt. They take the weak random value, apply it directly to the mathematical points of the xpub, and immediately see whether the equation works out. This speeds up the search process by a factor of one thousand to ten thousand.

Parent Key Leak: There is a known design vulnerability, firmly embedded in the Bitcoin protocol (BIP32), associated with non-hardened derivation, which nearly all software wallets use to display transactions. If an attacker possesses your xpub AND, by some chance, learns even a single private key of a subaddress (a child private key), they can immediately calculate the master private key for the entire wallet through simple subtraction. They then have immediate access to all addresses ever generated from that seed.

If a powerful actor (or an insider) wanted to undermine trust in cold storage, collecting xpubs would have been the ultimate goal. The question "Why Coldcard, of all things?" leads us straight to the heart of the psychology and power structures within the Bitcoin ecosystem. If an actor—whether state-sponsored, geopolitical, or operating from a technological dimension we do not fully comprehend—wanted to demonstrate that the axiom of entropy and the inviolability of cold storage are an illusion, it had to target the Coldcard.

It is therefore possible that it wasn't a random brute-force attack against the blockchain, but a targeted attack on the infrastructure that stores xpubs. Hence the repeated emphasis on the so-called passphrase—the 25-word phrase (Even if an exchange is hacked and your xpub is stolen, the xpub is mathematically worthless without your secret passphrase. The passphrase generates a completely new key tree that is invisible to the attacker).

There is another Anomaly: The latest on-chain analyses by TRM Labs (1) and Binance Square (2) reveal extremely bizarre behavior on the part of the attackers: In some wallets, only the most recent 200 transactions (UTXOs) were specifically drained, while older balances in the same wallet remained untouched. In some cases, the hackers left over 75 BTC in addresses derived from the same compromised seed. A purely mathematical brute-force bot would have taken everything. The fact that the attack was carried out in such an incomplete and selective manner supports the theory that the attackers were acting according to a specific, person-specific logic or filter list—or that certain funds were deliberately spared.

If the Coldcard hack was purely a blind software bug, why does the on-chain data show such an incomplete, almost selective picture of the wallets being plundered? A brute-force algorithm knows no mercy and leaves no millions untouched. Could it be that the code bug was merely a cover, and the real attacker had a precise filter list of real names and device UIDs to specifically target certain individuals while deliberately sparing others?

1. TRM Labs

https://www.trmlabs.com/resources/blog/the-largest-hardware-wallet-exploit-of-2026-inside-the-usd-116-million-coldcard-hack

1. Binance Square

https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/355394471223729

Very painful guys. Finally accepted my fate, but how unlucky can someone be? FTX & CC hack took 6 years of stacking away from me. Should have bought a car instead. Anyone in similar shoes and still stacking?

Considering the decreasing return every cycle and the decreasing drawdown every cycle, what is your realistic progression of bitcoin in the 2030s?

It’s been a mathematical regression until this point and I can see one more cycle going to the 170 k - 200 k usd by end of 2029 but the drawdown of 60 % would likely have bitcoin at around 90 k in 2030 and the next cycle after that will likely only go up by 2.5 or something so you kind of fall into a perpetual state of pendulum if the current trend of cycles is extrapolated.

There’s really only two things in my mind that happen, it loses the cycle behaviour and becomes like any other asset that falls on supply and demand or people lose faith in the underlying value and it trends to 0

I'm trying to switch from Coldcard Q to Blockstream Jade Plus.
But it's difficult to enter a lengthy passphrase in small Jade Plus with two keys, and I'm afraid I'll type something incorrectly and create a wallet that I can't get back.

Is it okay to create a seed with dice and enter the seedphrase and a passphrase both in Coldcard Q and Jade Plus, connect coldcard Q to Sparrow in QR airgap mode, obtain the Master fingerprint and xpub, then compare it with Blockstream?

I'm not going to use Coldcard Q for any transactions. So hope there won't be a nonce attack threat.

Is it possible for my seed or passphrase to be leaked by entering it into Coldcard Q?

I am not a core developer or a Bitcoin expert, but looking at the statistical and logistical data of the recent exploit, the official 'software bug' explanation leaves huge logical gaps. Here is why...

The official post-mortem of the recent Coldcard exploit points to a 2021 build configuration flaw that forced a fallback to a weak pseudo-random number generator (PRNG). While the cryptographic reduction of entropy to around 40-bits on affected devices explains how keys could be brute-forced, the actual on-chain execution and statistical anomalies strongly suggest that the bug was not the sole catalyst.

The data suggests that the attacker did not perform a blind, brute-force scan of the blockchain. Instead, the evidence points toward a highly targeted operation utilizing pre-existing metadata.

Here are the key anomalies that the official version fails to reconcile:

1. The Impossibility of Wave 1 Velocity (July 30, 2026)

The attack began at 01:31 UTC on July 30. Within exactly 41 minutes, 1,196 high-value addresses were systematically drained of 1,082 BTC. To achieve this speed, an attacker cannot scan the entire Bitcoin state blindly. Even with a 40-bit search space, querying the blockchain or an indexer for thousands of specific addresses sequentially within minutes requires an existing map. The attacker knew exactly which addresses to hit first.

2. Extreme Geographical Discrepancies

According to preliminary exchange IP data and community tracking, the victim pool is heavily concentrated:

* North America: ~45% of total victims.

* Europe: ~35% of total victims.

* Asia (specifically South Korea): Less than 2%.

If this were a blind cryptographic exploit affecting identical global firmware, the victim distribution should strictly mirror total worldwide device sales. The massive disparity suggests the attacker targeted specific infrastructure—such as western DCA brokers or localized databases that hold client xpubs/zpubs—rather than random global targets.

3. Incomplete and "Surgical" Wallet Draining

Blockchain analysis from TRM Labs revealed that the attacker frequently left substantial funds untouched on the same seed. In several instances, newer UTXOs were swept while older balances (exceeding 75 BTC) on the exact same derivation paths remained unspent. A blind, automated script would liquidate 100% of an unlocked seed. The selective nature points toward a targeted filter list or automated scripts that only had access to partial transaction histories/xpub sub-trees.

4. The Contact Paradox

Numerous affected users report being directly contacted regarding the breach, despite assurances that customer purchasing data had historically been purged in accordance with data-retention policies. If an off-chain link between device UIDs, firmware status, and user identities still existed, it creates a massive honeypot. It implies the attacker may have operated with an exfiltrated database containing logistical shipping dates, device IDs, and customer metadata.

Conclusion:

The PRNG firmware flaw was the mechanism, but an aggregated dataset of user identities, xpubs, or device shipping logs was almost certainly the trigger. We need to stop treating this as just a software bug and start investigating the systemic failure of supply chain data, third-party xpub aggregators, and data retention compliance.

What are your thoughts? Has anyone looked deeper into which specific DCA-broker or portfolio tracker databases might have been compromised prior to July 30?

YOU’RE***** it’s late and I’m sad
bought at the top (been wanting to for a while, finally had the funds) and just had to sell at the bottom for personal reasons ????your welcome guys I’m sure it’s gonna skyrocket now

The 20 millionth bitcoin was mined on March 2026. And yes, already...95% of the total supply.

BUT

20 million mined ≠ 20 million available

Please utilize this sticky thread for all general Bitcoin discussions! If you see posts on the front page or /r/Bitcoin/new which are better suited for this daily discussion thread, please help out by directing the OP to this thread instead. Thank you!

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I believe keeping cryptocurrency on centralized exchanges is actually a solid choice. The barrier to entry for cold storage and hardware wallets is extremely high, and a single moment of carelessness can leave you vulnerable to hackers or costly mistakes. Just look at the recent on-chain transaction where a user lost a fortune due to a massive fat-finger error on gas fees.
I know the counterargument: people always bring up Mount Gox and early exchange hacks. But much like traditional banks in their early days, exchanges had growing pains. Today’s major platforms are vastly more mature in their asset custody and security infrastructure than they were years ago.
Even if you take a more hardcore approach and use open-source software to build or manage your wallet, the risk of theft remains. Open-source does not automatically make software immune to exploits—after all, how many people on this planet actually have the technical expertise to audit that code and catch subtle vulnerabilities? For the vast majority of users, letting a modern, well-capitalized exchange secure your assets is simply the more practical choice.